NOAA releases 2018-19 Winter Outlook

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

NOAA releases 2018-19 Winter Outlook

On its temperature forecast map, the Carolinas and much of the southeast and Mid-Atlantic are all colored white, while the rest of the country is cast in reds and oranges, since those areas are expected to be warmer.

Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, says their forecast calls for above average temperatures and below average precipitation for both the Lower and Upper Peninsula.

During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the US and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

According to NOAA, in ME, the three-month average snowfall in Portland, across December, January and February, is 14.8 inches, in Bangor 16.1 inches, and in Caribou, 23.4 inches. During the winter, typical El Nino conditions in the USA can include wetter-than-average precipitation in the South and drier conditions in parts of the North.

There's a lot more than just an El Nino pattern that determines how winter will play out.

It also said that wetter-than-average conditions are likely across the southern part of the USA, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

The northwestern United States, including parts of Northern California near the OR border, is likely to see the highest chances of warmer temperatures.

Kentucky has equal chances for both above and below average temperatures according to NOAA's outlook.

"NOAA" s Winter 2018 temperature outlook for the United States.

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the U.S., extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

Drought conditions are most likely across the Southwest, Southern California, the central Great Basin, central Rockies, Northern Plains, and parts of the interior Pacific Northwest.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.

But they are expected to get better in Arizona and New Mexico, southern parts of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains, NOAA said.

-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations. NOAA'S next update will be available on November 15th. Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are still likely to occur. Snow forecasts are generally not easily predicated more than a week in advance.

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