Four of Europe's Ryder Cup side all also saw their campaigns end at the penultimate event, with Rafa Cabrera Bello in 41st position, Ian Poulter in 45th, Tyrrell Hatton in 54th and former FedExCup champion Henrik Stenson in 57th.
PGAtour.com lists what scenarios would have to take place for each of the 30 competitors to win the $10 million check that goes to the victor of the FedEx Cup playoffs.
"I was riding some momentum [from the Dell Technologies Championship] but all in all, [my] game kind of got a little off".
"I'm glad it's over", Matsuyama said.
One huge surprise the model is calling for in its 2018 Tour Championship picks: Woods, the only player to win the FedEx Cup a couple of times, makes a strong run but falls just short of winning the title.
The top 30 players in the FedExCup after the BMW Championship will be eligible to compete in the Tour Championship.
Bryson DeChambeau tops the season-long standings, with Justin Rose, Tony Finau, Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas completing the top-five ahead of Bradley and Brooks Koepka. "But that second round. you can't shoot over par here and that threw me so much (further back)". In 17 starts this season, he has two second-place finishes and six top-10s.
As part of a rule put in place last year to help strengthen fields, the tour requires players who are not lifetime members or veterans (think Woods, Phil Mickelson, Vijay Singh) to play at least one event per year that they have not played in the past four.
Also, the model says three golfers with odds of 16-1 or longer will make a deep run at the Tour Championship title. I obviously accept whatever fine it is and move on and try and add one [new event] every year.