First Alert Day issued for isolated severe storms possible this afternoon

Weather Blog Significant Severe Weather Potential Friday Evening

First Alert: Big warm-up, then storms possible late weekend

We also encourage you to have the First Alert Weather App on your smart phone or tablet. Please be alert for stormy weather at the tail-end of the weekend as a strong cold front swings through.

The cold front sweeps through during the evening and overnight. If the Gulf Coast storms are strong enough, it will just be rain in North Alabama.

"The best chance of strong to severe storms will likely be between 3 p.m. and 11 p.m.", Sovine said.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center defines a "moderate risk" this way: Severe thunderstorms are expected to affect between 5 and 10 percent of the area.

Spring-time storm systems are notoriously hard to predict and some changes to the forecast are likely including a possible increase or decrease in the risk of severe storms. After 9 PM these storms will lose a lot of energy due to loss of warm air after sunset.

Much of South Louisiana, including New Orleans, Baton Rouge and surrounding parishes, stands at an "enhanced" risk for severe thunderstorms beginning early Saturday. A Wind Advisory is in effect until 10:00 p.m. for sustained winds around 20 miles per hour with gusts up to 30 miles per hour. Pocahontas, Calhoun, Humboldt, Webster, Wright, and Carroll county are all included in the current Winter Storm Watch.

He said all modes of severe weather will be possible.

While snow totals will be relatively low, wind could create very treacherous driving conditions with gusts in Northwest Kansas forecast to exceed 50 miles per hour. A brief period of light snow is possible early Sunday morning, mainly north of I-70, changing back to rain before ending by early afternoon.

Snow totals of three to five inches are expected with locally heavier amounts likely. Another round of showers returns for the evening with blowing snow possible.

Tomorrow afternoon: grey, rainy and windy.

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